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It is clear that the impeachment resulted both from the frustration of an opposition that was unable to win democratic elections, and from a political class that wanted at all costs to stop investigations into corruption. It was essentially a coup negotiated by corrupt politicians and supported by a biased judiciary system and media. Since Lula was the obvious candidate, he became the prime target for investigation. Lula remains the most popular politician in Brazil, and is far ahead in all the polls to win elections this year.

That is the real reason why Lula will most likely be imprisoned.

1.1 – Constitutional Right to Petition the Government

The whole case hinges on the testimony of a not particularly credible witness. In Brazil, senators and congressman cannot be judged by regular courts—in fact, only by the Supreme Court, which has allowed Neves to remain free. The origins of these inequalities harkens back to a slave system in which the central government could entice regional oligarchies with clientelistic patronage. In that context, the courts, and one might add the police and the military, were at the service of local elites. Despite the economic and social progress since the nineteenth century, some of these structures are incredibly resilient and still in place.

However, there is no evidence of direct payments to Lula, or that Lula knew of payments to members of Congress, or about bribes at Petrobras or any other state company or bank.

Abraham Lincoln and the Global Economy

The need to provide patronage to political allies in order to be able to pass legislation in Congress—a system akin to lobbying in the United States—has made the right-wing Brazilian Democratic Movement Party PMDB essential to governing in Brazil since the s. In fact, PMDB has been at the center of all the corruption scandals. Resolving structural corruption in Brazil is a crucial problem. It also perpetuates the use of the judiciary system to prevent popular and progressive candidates from running for office and governing if they win.

But even beyond Bolsonaro and his authoritarian tendencies, the real danger here is a long-lasting return to an oligarchic state like Brazil's in the nineteenth century, in which the rents of a relatively stagnant export economy were distributed among a few powerful families, while the vast majority was left out. In the contemporary version, instead of slavery, a mass of unemployed people eke out an existence in the slums at the mercy of an antagonistic police state. Patronage and the use of state companies for personal gain would increase, and the judiciary and the media would play a role in allowing illegal organizations to penetrate the state.

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Support our work. Search form Search. The crisis of ideological neutrality refers to the alleged influence of partisan interests on foreign policymaking. It contradicts, all at once, the most basic tenet of Brazilian diplomacy—the monolithic unity of the national interest, and its most important characteristic, its linearity and continuity over time. Having initially been formulated as a mere change in tone and emphasis, it developed into a grave disruption of diplomatic tradition.

When Lula took office in , backed by a left-wing coalition, he is said to have used foreign policy to counterbalance the orthodox macroeconomic policies he had promised to undertake.

Since 1889

While change, at that point, was more of rhetoric than of substance, it seems to have deepened old cleavages within Itamaraty that became visible some years later. Young diplomats were being brainwashed and forced to read biased literature while older civil servants were promoted according to political affinities and ideologies.

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  • His thesis flows from three logically connected arguments. That would break with the otherwise unshakable notion that diplomats serve the Brazilian state, not specific governments. Globally, spectators were taken aback by the enthusiasm with which Lula shook hands with controversial leaders such as Muammar Gadhafi , Bashar Al-Assad, or Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. We may look at it in two different ways. If the point of the criticism is valid, then it is natural that policymakers will avoid talking about it publicly. Diplomacy and the Presidency The second crisis of Brazilian diplomacy has to do with the growing divergence between the president and the foreign ministry.

    Article History

    While there may be specific constitutional provisions for those roles, many of the activities conducted by the president take place in an informal and voluntarist fashion. In Brazil, it only gained force in the early s, and most of the diplomatic efforts undertaken by the presidents at that moment were related to the need to restore international credibility by reaffirming our democratic credentials.

    The new diplomatic reality, in which presidents are active international stakeholders and multilateral summits take place quite often, has also transformed the relationship between public opinion, the mass media, and international affairs in Brazil. In any event, for good or ill, the otherwise linear diplomatic orientation put forth by the Ministry of External Relations becomes more complex and intertwined with domestic forces and partisan interests. At the same time, tradition should be preserved to some degree for the sake of coherence. If coherence is something to be sought after, then the president and diplomats must establish a good working relationship, with the foreign minister as the link between them.

    This has been generally true for the Cardoso and Lula administrations, and some even claim that their success abroad was made possible by the harmony between the strategies forged by the presidents and the idea of national interest secured by the ministry.

    The nomination of Ambassador Antonio Patriota as foreign minister, who had a lower and more technical profile than his predecessor, also pointed towards a risk-averse foreign policy. In any case, expectations were high that traditional diplomatic guidelines would be maintained, building on the achievements of previous years.

    It was clear, on the one hand, that she would retreat from the active presidential diplomacy of the prior heads of state. Ever since President Rousseff took office there have been several accounts of public and private disagreements between herself and Foreign Minister Patriota; and other ministers were placed at the center of foreign policymaking. The unwanted but expected outcome is instability at the core of foreign policymaking.

    Infrastructure projects connecting Brazil and its neighbors, whose goal is to overcome some persistent economic bottlenecks, gained priority over regional political agreements that marked previous administrations. The foreign ministry has been portrayed as unimportant even in the most central foreign policy issues. This weakens Itamaraty within the government already the ministry receives the second smallest budget allocation out of thirty-nine ministries and undermines the prestige of diplomacy in the eyes of the public.

    Occupy Itamaraty The third crisis is the growing incompatibility between foreign policy and social demands. There are several reasons why foreign policy remained unchallenged over the decades, most of which related to the notion that diplomatic orientations undertaken by Itamaraty enjoyed broad consensus along party lines.

    It may be argued that this agreement has been eroding from the moment foreign policy became a distributive issue. Democratization on the one hand and economic opening on the other, have been major forces in shaping the political process in post-authoritarian Brazil.

    1.2 – Interest Groups

    One of the outcomes was the progressive transformation of foreign policy into a public policy. Signs of divided opinion on diplomatic paths have been quite evident ever since President Cardoso took office—they intensified under President Lula. The interesting aspect of the struggle is that most of the criticism was fired at the presidents themselves and their foreign policy choices, leaving Itamaraty untouched. It leads us to the necessary distinction, which is particularly critical in the Brazilian case, between diplomacy and foreign policy. While the former is often related to the work of diplomats on behalf of the foreign ministry, the latter encompasses a broader set of policies which are directed to foreign countries, regional blocs, or multilateral institutions.

    Nevertheless, with the dramatic weakening of the foreign office in the Rousseff years, it is possible to suggest that the ministry could not live up to the growing pressure to which it has been subjected—irrespective of the achievements of the institutional reforms. The act of vandalism led Professor Dawisson Lopes to draw a comparison between popular discontent in Brazil and the United States. Only by restoring its legitimacy and popular support will the ministry be able to regain ground as the pillar of foreign policymaking in Brazil. After all, Brazilian democracy has come of age. While the crisis of ideological neutrality is the most commonly mentioned in the pages of newspapers—having become a staple among journalists and politicians—it is probably the least perilous to the foreign service.

    Partisan interference in diplomatic affairs is relatively low, and strategies played out by specific administrations rarely contradict the goals and traditions set forth by Itamaraty. As long as foreign policy remains salient in the public agenda, debates over the ideological leanings of foreign policymakers will eventually surface.

    Judging by the last two decades, however, the impact of such discussions will be trifling.